2023 JEEA-FBBVA lecture - The Importance of Modeling Income Tax Changes Over Time: U.S. Reforms and Outcomes
Mariacristina De Nardi will give the 2023 JEEA-FBBVA lecture - The Importance of Modeling Income Tax Changes Over Time: U.S. Reforms and Outcomes - on Tuesday, May 9, 17:00 (Central European Summer Time).
The lecture will be streamed here.
The Importance of Modeling Income Tax Changes Over Time: U.S. Reforms and Outcomes
While “’Tis impossible to be sure of any thing but Death and Taxes” Bullock (1716), the structure of taxes and their burden have undergone large and frequent changes over time. We provide a brief history of U.S. federal income tax reforms since the 1960s, calculate effective federal income tax rates for each wave of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, and discuss how effective taxation changed from 1969 to 2016. We show that most tax regimes are short-lived and that the variation in taxes over time and across groups is large. We also use an estimated dynamic model of couples and singles to show that the various tax regimes that we estimate imply very different labor market and saving behavior. These findings stress the importance of studying and modeling tax changes over time and across groups.
The lecture will be chaired by JEEA co-Editor, Vasiliki Skreta.